What is the expected value of a Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box?

Opening a Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box gets you about $489.72 of cards at market price. Selling them would return about $321.36 after fees. We do not hold a current list price for it, so compare both figures against what a sealed box actually costs you today.

Is the Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box worth opening?

No: at MSRP the cards inside are worth about $788.49 less than the box costs, and buying the individual cards you want will be cheaper. The box only breaks even at $489.72 or less, and less again — about $321.36 — if the plan is to resell.

How much would you get back selling a Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box?

About $321.36, against $489.72 of cards at market price. Market price is what a buyer pays, not what a seller receives: TCGplayer takes 10.75% commission plus a 2.5% and $0.30 transaction fee, and posting a single card costs around $1.10. Below roughly $1.66 a card is worth more in a bulk lot, at about $0.04 a rare, than listed and posted — and 12% of this box's value sits under that line.

Bloomburrow

Cards inside $489.72$788 short of list

Bloomburrow

Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box

Open one box and you'll get $489.72 of cards, on average. A box costs $1,278 right now, so that means you're $788.49 short.

Cards inside

$489.72

Everything in the box, at today's prices

Box costs now

$1,278

TCGplayer market · from $1,385

Difference

-$788.49

Against you

Packs in the box

Each holds one rare or mythic

Box price from TCGplayer, checked September 2, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated August 29, 2026

This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.

And if you sold the cards?

$489.72 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.

Worth to a buyer

$489.72

Every card at market price

What you'd keep

$321.36

About 66% of it, sold card by card

Stuck as bulk

12%

Cards worth more by the thousand than listed

Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 12% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.

Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.

What does a box cost you?

We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.

Box price

$20$3,200

I'd be selling the cards. Values every card at what you'd be paid for it rather than what it sells for — fees and postage on the ones worth listing, bulk rates on the ones that aren't. Comes to about 66% of $490.

-$788.49

per box, against you

You would do better buying the singles

At $1,278 a box you'd come up about $788.49 short on average. Buying the individual cards you want will usually cost less.

Break-even price

$489.72

Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.

Where the value comes from

Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.

Foil showcase rare mythic

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$20.01

Whole box

$240.12

$190.92 kept

49%

Showcase rare or mythic

A special treatment — alternate frames and art that appear at a lower rate.

Per pack

$10.97

Whole box

$131.64

$87.12 kept

27%

Foil rare or mythic

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$3.12

Whole box

$37.44

$21.84 kept

Commander card

One of the card positions in every pack of this product.

Per pack

$2.83

Whole box

$33.96

$17.64 kept

Foil uncommons

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$1.91

Whole box

$22.92

$3.00 kept

Foil commons

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$1.31

Whole box

$15.72

$0.24 kept

Foil land

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.58

Whole box

$6.96

$0.24 kept

Foil commander card

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.09

Whole box

$1.08

$0.48 kept

The cards you're hoping to hit

The ten most valuable cards a Play Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.

#1 most valuable

Ms. Bumbleflower

$1334.66

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#2 most valuable

Lumra, Bellow of the Woods

$791.89

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#3 most valuable

Chatterfang, Squirrel General

$763.31

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

Bello, Bard of the Brambles

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$559.13

Hazel of the Rootbloom

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$475.43

Jace, the Mind Sculptor

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$412.13

Baylen, the Haymaker

rareabout 1 every 33 boxes

$409.36

Ral, Crackling Wit

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$371.58

Liliana of the Dark Realms

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$301.75

Camellia, the Seedmiser

rareabout 1 every 33 boxes

$255.76

Every rare and mythic in the set

244 cards. “Copies per box” is how many of that exact card you'd expect from one box on average — under 1 means you usually won't see it at all.

			Foil price
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods	mythic	$57.89	$116.33	0.12
Three Tree City	rare	$52.99	$96.25	0.12
Chatterfang, Squirrel General	mythic	$50.39	$79.87	0.23
Sylvan Tutor	mythic	$47.88	$74.22	0.04
Three Tree City	rare	$44.73	$105.37	0.12
Three Tree City	rare	$43.57	$88.72	0.12
Three Tree City	rare	$42.91	$78.74	0.12
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods	mythic	$40.39	$68.34	0.12
Sword of Fire and Ice	mythic	$39.08	$67.25	0.04
Three Tree City	rare	$29.00	$29.74	0.17
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods	mythic	$26.09	$26.38	0.09
Maha, Its Feathers Night	mythic	$25.17	$45.04	0.23
Jace, the Mind Sculptor	mythic	$24.11	$25.81	0.23
Marrow-Gnawer	rare	$24.11	$25.36	0.46
Maha, Its Feathers Night	mythic	$21.86	$23.68	0.09
Liliana of the Dark Realms	mythic	$21.30	$22.00	0.23
Ygra, Eater of All	mythic	$21.23	$36.48	0.23
Ledger Shredder	mythic	$17.93	$58.29	0.04
Swords to Plowshares	mythic	$17.49	$64.04	0.04
Rat Colony	mythic	$16.32	$29.47	0.04

Compare with other boxes

Sets released around the same time, so you can see how this one stacks up.

Duskmourn: House of Horror

$238 of cards

+$46 ahead of list

Bloomburrow

$279 of cards

+$85 ahead of list

Duskmourn: House of Horror

$320 of cards

$409 short of list

Questions people ask

It's the average value of the cards in a box. Imagine opening a thousand boxes of this set and adding up every card at its market price — divide by a thousand and you get $489.72. It is not what your box will be worth. Most boxes come in lower, because a small number of very expensive cards drag the average up.

Bloomburrow

Bloomburrow Collector Booster Box

And if you sold the cards?

What does a box cost you?

Where the value comes from

The cards you're hoping to hit

Every rare and mythic in the set

Compare with other boxes

Questions people ask

What does “expected value” actually mean?

So should I open a box or buy singles?

Could I really get $489.72 back by selling the cards?

Where do the prices come from?

What counts towards the total?

How accurate is this?