Fate Reforged
Open one box and you'll get $123.48 of cards, on average. A box costs $212 right now, so that means you're $88.62 short.
Cards inside
$123.48
Everything in the box, at today's prices
Box costs now
$212
TCGplayer market · from $222
Difference
-$88.62
Against you
Packs in the box
36
Each holds at least one rare or mythic
Box price from TCGplayer, checked October 12, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated October 16, 2026
This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.
$123.48 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.
Worth to a buyer
$123.48
Every card at market price
What you'd keep
$35.64
About 29% of it, sold card by card
Stuck as bulk
60%
Cards worth more by the thousand than listed
Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 60% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.
Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.
We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.
-$88.62
per box, against you
You would do better buying the singles
At $212 a box you'd come up about $88.62 short on average. Buying the individual cards you want will usually cost less.
Break-even price
$123.48
Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.
Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.
Land
The land slot. In recent sets this can be a valuable nonbasic.
Per pack
$0.89
Whole box
$32.04
$20.52 kept
Share
26%
Commons
The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.
Per pack
$0.86
Whole box
$30.96
$1.44 kept
Share
25%
Rare or mythic
The one guaranteed rare or mythic in every pack. This is where most of a box’s value sits.
Per pack
$0.75
Whole box
$27.00
$7.56 kept
Share
22%
Uncommons
Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.
Per pack
$0.72
Whole box
$25.92
$3.60 kept
Share
21%
Foil (any rarity)
The guaranteed shiny card in every pack. Usually a common, occasionally something expensive.
Per pack
$0.21
Whole box
$7.56
$2.52 kept
Share
6%
The ten most valuable cards a Draft Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.
#1 most valuable
Wooded Foothills
$36.28
You'll open one about 1 every 3 boxes
#2 most valuable
Bloodstained Mire
$36.08
You'll open one about 1 every 3 boxes
#3 most valuable
Polluted Delta
$30.97
You'll open one about 1 every 3 boxes
Windswept Heath
$27.15
Flooded Strand
$26.38
Ugin, the Spirit Dragon
$23.17
Ojutai, Soul of Winter
$13.58
Temporal Trespass
$11.92
Dark Deal
$10.31
Brutal Hordechief
$8.48
56 cards. “Copies per box” is how many of that exact card you'd expect from one box on average — under 1 means you usually won't see it at all.
| Polluted Delta | rare | $20.84 | 0.30 |
| Bloodstained Mire | rare | $18.63 | 0.30 |
| Wooded Foothills | rare | $17.90 | 0.30 |
| Flooded Strand | rare | $16.27 | 0.30 |
| Ugin, the Spirit Dragon | mythic | $14.61 | 0.47 |
| Windswept Heath | rare | $12.63 | 0.30 |
| Temporal Trespass | mythic | $2.91 | 0.47 |
| Brutal Hordechief | mythic | $2.08 | 0.47 |
| Monastery Mentor | mythic | $2.04 | 0.47 |
| Crux of Fate | rare | $1.43 | 0.90 |
| Archfiend of Depravity | rare | $1.42 | 0.93 |
| Shamanic Revelation | rare | $1.38 | 0.93 |
| Arcbond | rare | $1.31 | 0.93 |
| Monastery Siege | rare | $1.08 | 0.90 |
| Mob Rule | rare | $0.99 | 0.93 |
| Crucible of the Spirit Dragon | rare | $0.94 | 0.93 |
| Soulfire Grand Master | mythic | $0.92 | 0.47 |
| Shaman of the Great Hunt | mythic | $0.90 | 0.47 |
| Supplant Form | rare | $0.82 | 0.93 |
| Palace Siege | rare | $0.79 | 0.90 |
Sets released around the same time, so you can see how this one stacks up.
