What is the expected value of a Guildpact Draft Booster Box?

Opening a Guildpact Draft Booster Box gets you about $176.40 of cards at market price. Selling them would return about $55.80 after fees. We do not hold a current list price for it, so compare both figures against what a sealed box actually costs you today.

Is the Guildpact Draft Booster Box worth opening?

No: at MSRP the cards inside are worth about $420.86 less than the box costs, and buying the individual cards you want will be cheaper. The box only breaks even at $176.40 or less, and less again — about $55.80 — if the plan is to resell.

How much would you get back selling a Guildpact Draft Booster Box?

About $55.80, against $176.40 of cards at market price. Market price is what a buyer pays, not what a seller receives: TCGplayer takes 10.75% commission plus a 2.5% and $0.30 transaction fee, and posting a single card costs around $1.10. Below roughly $1.66 a card is worth more in a bulk lot, at about $0.04 a rare, than listed and posted — and 56% of this box's value sits under that line.

Guildpact

Cards inside $176.40$421 short of list

Guildpact

Guildpact Draft Booster Box

Open one box and you'll get $176.40 of cards, on average. A box costs $597 right now, so that means you're $420.86 short.

Cards inside

$176.40

Everything in the box, at today's prices

Box costs now

$597

TCGplayer market · from $1,900

Difference

-$420.86

Against you

Packs in the box

Each holds one rare or mythic

Box price from TCGplayer, checked September 2, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated December 7, 2025

This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.

And if you sold the cards?

$176.40 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.

Worth to a buyer

$176.40

Every card at market price

What you'd keep

$55.80

About 32% of it, sold card by card

Stuck as bulk

56%

Cards worth more by the thousand than listed

Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 56% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.

Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.

What does a box cost you?

We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.

Box price

$20$1,500

I'd be selling the cards. Values every card at what you'd be paid for it rather than what it sells for — fees and postage on the ones worth listing, bulk rates on the ones that aren't. Comes to about 32% of $176.

-$420.86

per box, against you

You would do better buying the singles

At $597 a box you'd come up about $420.86 short on average. Buying the individual cards you want will usually cost less.

Break-even price

$176.40

Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.

Where the value comes from

Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.

Rares

The guaranteed rare in every pack.

Per pack

$1.86

Whole box

$66.96

$36.00 kept

38%

Commons

The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.

Per pack

$1.56

Whole box

$56.16

$1.44 kept

32%

Uncommons

Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.

Per pack

$0.93

Whole box

$33.48

$6.12 kept

19%

Foil commons

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.28

Whole box

$10.08

$5.40 kept

Foil rares

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.18

Whole box

$6.48

$5.04 kept

Foil uncommons

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.08

Whole box

$2.88

$1.44 kept

The cards you're hoping to hit

The ten most valuable cards a Play Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.

#1 most valuable

Steam Vents

$150.00

You'll open one about 1 every 2 boxes

#2 most valuable

Godless Shrine

$100.00

You'll open one about 1 every 2 boxes

#3 most valuable

Stomping Ground

$81.16

You'll open one about 1 every 2 boxes

Leyline of the Void

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$54.99

Teysa, Orzhov Scion

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$35.75

Storm Herd

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$29.01

Leyline of Singularity

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$27.68

Dune-Brood Nephilim

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$18.76

Ink-Treader Nephilim

rareabout 1 every 2 boxes

$17.29

Skarrg, the Rage Pits

uncommonabout 2.0 per box

$16.80

Every rare and mythic in the set

55 cards. “Copies per box” is how many of that exact card you'd expect from one box on average — under 1 means you usually won't see it at all.

			Foil price
Steam Vents	rare	$21.48	$150.00	0.65
Stomping Ground	rare	$15.74	$81.16	0.65
Godless Shrine	rare	$13.98	$100.00	0.65
Leyline of Lifeforce	rare	$5.48	$10.49	0.65
Gruul War Plow	rare	$5.46	$10.22	0.65
Leyline of Singularity	rare	$4.42	$27.68	0.65
Leyline of the Void	rare	$4.26	$54.99	0.65
Spelltithe Enforcer	rare	$2.83	$5.66	0.65
Ghostway	rare	$2.78	$15.83	0.65
Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind	rare	$1.98	$11.81	0.65
Angel of Despair	rare	$1.59	$7.22	0.65
Ink-Treader Nephilim	rare	$1.53	$17.29	0.65
Teysa, Orzhov Scion	rare	$1.49	$35.75	0.65
Leyline of the Meek	rare	$1.36	$3.20	0.65
Earth Surge	rare	$1.21	$8.15	0.65
Sword of the Paruns	rare	$1.13	$5.70	0.65
Stitch in Time	rare	$1.12	$7.16	0.65
Dune-Brood Nephilim	rare	$1.03	$18.76	0.65
Cerebral Vortex	rare	$0.97	$5.07	0.65
Storm Herd	rare	$0.92	$29.01	0.65

Compare with other boxes

Sets released around the same time, so you can see how this one stacks up.

Dissension

$307 of cards

$577 short of list

Ravnica: City of Guilds

$261 of cards

$916 short of list

Coldsnap

$534 of cards

$384 short of list

Questions people ask

It's the average value of the cards in a box. Imagine opening a thousand boxes of this set and adding up every card at its market price — divide by a thousand and you get $176.40. It is not what your box will be worth. Most boxes come in lower, because a small number of very expensive cards drag the average up.

Guildpact

Guildpact Draft Booster Box

And if you sold the cards?

What does a box cost you?

Where the value comes from

The cards you're hoping to hit

Every rare and mythic in the set

Compare with other boxes

Questions people ask

What does “expected value” actually mean?

So should I open a box or buy singles?

Could I really get $176.40 back by selling the cards?

Where do the prices come from?

What counts towards the total?

How accurate is this?