Modern Horizons
Open one box and you'll get $410.76 of cards, on average. A box costs $293 right now, so that means you're +$117.32 ahead.
Cards inside
$410.76
Everything in the box, at today's prices
Box costs now
$293
TCGplayer market · from $280
Difference
+$117.32
In your favour
Packs in the box
36
Each holds at least one rare or mythic
Box price from TCGplayer, checked October 12, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated October 17, 2026
This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.
$410.76 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.
Worth to a buyer
$410.76
Every card at market price
What you'd keep
$171.72
About 42% of it, sold card by card
Stuck as bulk
40%
Cards worth more by the thousand than listed
Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 40% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.
Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.
We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.
+$117.32
per box, in your favour
The cards are worth more than the box
At $293 a box you'd come out about $117.32 ahead on average. Over many boxes that edge is real — but any single box can still be a dud.
Break-even price
$410.76
Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.
Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.
Rare or mythic
The one guaranteed rare or mythic in every pack. This is where most of a box’s value sits.
Per pack
$5.55
Whole box
$199.80
$137.88 kept
Share
49%
Commons
The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.
Per pack
$2.81
Whole box
$101.16
$11.88 kept
Share
25%
Uncommons
Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.
Per pack
$1.22
Whole box
$43.92
$3.96 kept
Share
11%
Basic land
The basic land. Worth essentially nothing unless it is a full-art foil.
Per pack
$1.04
Whole box
$37.44
$0.00 kept
Share
9%
Foil (any rarity)
The guaranteed shiny card in every pack. Usually a common, occasionally something expensive.
Per pack
$0.79
Whole box
$28.44
$18.00 kept
Share
7%
The ten most valuable cards a Draft Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.
#1 most valuable
Ranger-Captain of Eos
$66.31
You'll open one about 1 every 3 boxes
#2 most valuable
Force of Negation
$65.56
You'll open one about 1 every 2 boxes
#3 most valuable
The First Sliver
$64.28
You'll open one about 1 every 3 boxes
Prismatic Vista
$57.23
Echo of Eons
$57.10
Serra the Benevolent
$55.29
Yawgmoth, Thran Physician
$46.19
Sword of Truth and Justice
$42.28
Mox Tantalite
$24.63
Collector Ouphe
$24.62
68 cards. “Copies per box” is how many of that exact card you'd expect from one box on average — under 1 means you usually won't see it at all.
| Force of Negation | rare | $45.93 | 0.62 |
| The First Sliver | mythic | $37.01 | 0.31 |
| Ranger-Captain of Eos | mythic | $36.66 | 0.31 |
| Prismatic Vista | rare | $31.20 | 0.62 |
| Sword of Truth and Justice | mythic | $30.17 | 0.31 |
| Yawgmoth, Thran Physician | mythic | $26.16 | 0.31 |
| Urza, Lord High Artificer | mythic | $17.29 | 0.31 |
| Altar of Dementia | rare | $16.28 | 0.62 |
| Eladamri's Call | rare | $11.62 | 0.62 |
| Echo of Eons | mythic | $11.25 | 0.31 |
| Mox Tantalite | mythic | $10.92 | 0.31 |
| Hall of Heliod's Generosity | rare | $10.47 | 0.62 |
| Sword of Sinew and Steel | mythic | $10.20 | 0.31 |
| Giver of Runes | rare | $9.52 | 0.62 |
| Goblin Engineer | rare | $8.47 | 0.62 |
| Morophon, the Boundless | mythic | $8.33 | 0.31 |
| Wrenn and Six | mythic | $8.04 | 0.31 |
| Serra the Benevolent | mythic | $7.76 | 0.31 |
| Nurturing Peatland | rare | $6.40 | 0.62 |
| Force of Despair | rare | $6.39 | 0.62 |
Sets released around the same time, so you can see how this one stacks up.
