What is the expected value of a Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box?

Opening a Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box gets you about $195.60 of cards at market price, against a market price of $188.86 for the box — a ratio of 1.04x. Selling those cards would return about $77.10 after fees, because 44% of that value sits in cards worth more as bulk than as a listing.

Is the Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box worth opening?

Measured against buying the singles, yes: at $188.86 a box the cards inside are worth about $6.74 more than the box costs. Measured as an investment, no — reselling them would return about $77.10 after fees and postage, which is less than the box costs. Check the price you would actually pay.

How much would you get back selling a Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box?

About $77.10, against $195.60 of cards at market price. Market price is what a buyer pays, not what a seller receives: TCGplayer takes 10.75% commission plus a 2.5% and $0.30 transaction fee, and posting a single card costs around $1.10. Below roughly $1.66 a card is worth more in a bulk lot, at about $0.04 a rare, than listed and posted — and 44% of this box's value sits under that line.

Streets of New Capenna

Cards inside $195.60+$7 ahead

Streets of New Capenna

Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box

Open one box and you'll get $195.60 of cards, on average. A box costs $189 right now, so that means you're +$6.74 ahead.

Cards inside

$195.60

Everything in the box, at today's prices

Box costs now

$189

TCGplayer market · from $165

Difference

+$6.74

In your favour

Packs in the box

Each holds at least one rare or mythic

Box price from TCGplayer, checked October 12, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated October 16, 2026

This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.

And if you sold the cards?

$195.60 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.

Worth to a buyer

$195.60

Every card at market price

What you'd keep

$77.10

About 39% of it, sold card by card

Stuck as bulk

44%

Cards worth more by the thousand than listed

Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 44% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.

Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.

What does a box cost you?

We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.

Box price

$20$475

I'd be selling the cards. Values every card at what you'd be paid for it rather than what it sells for — fees and postage on the ones worth listing, bulk rates on the ones that aren't. Comes to about 39% of $196.

+$6.74

per box, in your favour

The cards are worth more than the box

At $189 a box you'd come out about $6.74 ahead on average. Over many boxes that edge is real — but any single box can still be a dud.

Break-even price

$195.60

Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.

Where the value comes from

Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.

Rare or mythic

The one guaranteed rare or mythic in every pack. This is where most of a box’s value sits.

Per pack

$2.01

Whole box

$60.30

$35.10 kept

31%

Uncommons

Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.

Per pack

$0.93

Whole box

$27.90

$5.10 kept

14%

Wildcard

An extra card of any rarity. Most of the time it is a common or uncommon, but it can be a second rare.

Per pack

$0.91

Whole box

$27.30

$9.90 kept

14%

The List

A reprint pulled from a rotating list of older cards. It replaces a common in a small share of packs.

Per pack

$0.81

Whole box

$24.30

$16.20 kept

12%

Foil incl. showcase

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$0.67

Whole box

$20.10

$8.10 kept

10%

Commons

The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.

Per pack

$0.61

Whole box

$18.30

$0.30 kept

Basic land

The basic land. Worth essentially nothing unless it is a full-art foil.

Per pack

$0.24

Whole box

$7.20

$0.00 kept

Common uncommon showcase

A special treatment — alternate frames and art that appear at a lower rate.

Per pack

$0.17

Whole box

$5.10

$0.00 kept

Everything else

2 smaller slots — alternate-art pairs, bonus sheets and the like, each under 2% of the box.

Per pack

$0.18

Whole box

$5.40

$2.10 kept

The cards you're hoping to hit

The ten most valuable cards a Set Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.

#1 most valuable

Anointed Procession

$65.93

You'll open one about 1 every 17 boxes

#2 most valuable

Vampiric Tutor

$51.21

You'll open one about 1 every 17 boxes

#3 most valuable

Jetmir's Garden

$46.84

You'll open one about 1 every 50 boxes

Exquisite Blood

rareabout 1 every 17 boxes

$43.58

Spara's Headquarters

rareabout 1 every 50 boxes

$42.87

Sensei's Divining Top

rareabout 1 every 17 boxes

$41.49

Raffine's Tower

rareabout 1 every 50 boxes

$40.74

Raffine, Scheming Seer

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$40.53

Ziatora, the Incinerator

mythicabout 1 every 100 boxes

$36.15

Ziatora's Proving Ground

rareabout 1 every 50 boxes

$36.13

Every rare and mythic in the set

243 cards. “Copies per box” is how many of that exact card you'd expect from one box on average — under 1 means you usually won't see it at all.

			Foil price
Anointed Procession	rare	$65.93	—	0.06
Vampiric Tutor	mythic	$51.21	—	0.06
Exquisite Blood	rare	$43.58	—	0.06
Sensei's Divining Top	rare	$41.49	—	0.06
Mikaeus, the Unhallowed	mythic	$24.23	—	0.06
Jetmir's Garden	rare	$22.90	$46.84	0.02
Raffine's Tower	rare	$21.93	$40.74	0.02
Sakashima's Student	rare	$18.87	—	0.06
Xander's Lounge	rare	$18.44	$35.77	0.02
Spara's Headquarters	rare	$18.28	$42.87	0.02
Ziatora's Proving Ground	rare	$17.10	$36.13	0.02
Jetmir's Garden	rare	$15.89	$18.10	0.52
Jetmir's Garden	rare	$15.33	$18.07	0.02
Xander's Lounge	rare	$14.16	$15.45	0.52
Xander's Lounge	rare	$14.12	$16.34	0.02
Spara's Headquarters	rare	$13.92	$14.51	0.52
Raffine's Tower	rare	$13.75	$17.09	0.02
Spara's Headquarters	rare	$13.41	$15.77	0.02
Raffine's Tower	rare	$13.41	$14.75	0.52
Bennie Bracks, Zoologist	mythic	$11.89	$15.63	0.07

Compare with other boxes

Sets released around the same time, so you can see how this one stacks up.

Streets of New Capenna

$199 of cards

+$56 ahead of the box price

Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty

$317 of cards

$329 short of the box price

Streets of New Capenna

$213 of cards

$98 short of the box price

Questions people ask

It's the average value of the cards in a box. Imagine opening a thousand boxes of this set and adding up every card at its market price — divide by a thousand and you get $195.60. It is not what your box will be worth. Most boxes come in lower, because a small number of very expensive cards drag the average up.

Streets of New Capenna

Streets of New Capenna Set Booster Box

And if you sold the cards?

What does a box cost you?

Where the value comes from

The cards you're hoping to hit

Every rare and mythic in the set

Compare with other boxes

Questions people ask

What does “expected value” actually mean?

So should I open a box or buy singles?

Could I really get $195.60 back by selling the cards?

Where do the prices come from?

What counts towards the total?

How accurate is this?