What is the expected value of a Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box?

The current expected value of opening a Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box is $237.31, compared to a retail price of $130. This gives an EV ratio of 1.83x.

Is the Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box worth opening?

Based on current card prices, opening this box has a positive expected value of +$107.31.

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

1.83x

EV: $237.31Retail: $130P/L: +$107.31

Tarkir: Dragonstorm

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

1.83x EV

Box EV

$237.31

Retail Price

$130

Profit / Loss

+$107.31

Packs

Prices from Scryfall / TCGPlayer · Updated 4/7/2026

Buy on Amazon

EV Breakdown by Slot

Slot	Per-Pack EV	Box Contribution	Share
Rare / Mythic	$1.84	$66.20	28%
Wildcard	$1.12	$40.39	17%
Foil (any rarity)	$3.63	$130.72	55%
Total		$237.31	100%

Top 10 Chase Cards

Elspeth, Storm Slayer

$41.95

+$3.92 EV

Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms

$37.85

+$3.54 EV

Betor, Kin to All

$22.76

+$2.13 EV

Mox Jasper

mythic~0.09 per box

$21.74

+$2.03 EV

Voice of Victory

rare~0.37 per box

$21.74

+$7.96 EV

Craterhoof Behemoth

mythic~0.09 per box

$17.91

+$1.68 EV

Betor, Kin to All

mythic~0.09 per box

$14.07

+$1.32 EV

Dracogenesis

mythic~0.09 per box

$12.70

+$1.19 EV

Mox Jasper

mythic~0.09 per box

$12.41

+$1.16 EV

#10

Mistrise Village

rare~0.37 per box

$8.62

+$3.16 EV

All Rares & Mythics

Name	Rarity	Price	Foil	Per Box
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	$41.95	$45.02	0.09
Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	$37.85	$42.88	0.09
Betor, Kin to All	mythic	$22.76	$29.97	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	$21.74	$36.62	0.09
Voice of Victory	rare	$21.74	$31.18	0.37
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	$17.91	$19.79	0.09
Betor, Kin to All	mythic	$14.07	$20.77	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	$12.70	$15.97	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	$12.41	$13.45	0.09
Mistrise Village	rare	$8.62	$15.28	0.37
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$8.06	$17.01	0.09
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$7.65	$10.28	0.09
Mistrise Village	rare	$7.47	$8.17	0.37
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$7.03	$11.32	0.09
Nature's Rhythm	rare	$6.79	$13.53	0.37
Call the Spirit Dragons	mythic	$6.16	$8.76	0.09
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$5.79	$10.18	0.09
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$5.24	$7.94	0.09
Herd Heirloom	rare	$4.94	$5.99	0.37
Clarion Conqueror // Clarion Conqueror	rare	$3.92	$5.52	0.37
Cori-Steel Cutter	rare	$3.90	$5.20	0.37
Stormscale Scion	mythic	$3.60	$5.57	0.09
Windcrag Siege	rare	$3.55	$3.26	0.37
Windcrag Siege	rare	$3.28	$5.02	0.37
Frostcliff Siege	rare	$3.18	$5.39	0.37
Marang River Regent // Coil and Catch // Marang River Regent	rare	$3.14	$4.92	0.37
Ureni, the Song Unending	mythic	$3.05	$2.86	0.09
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$3.02	$5.39	0.09
All-Out Assault	mythic	$2.80	$2.82	0.09
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon	rare	$2.63	$4.23	0.37
Winternight Stories	rare	$2.62	$3.92	0.37
Smile at Death	mythic	$2.54	$4.06	0.09
Neriv, Heart of the Storm	mythic	$2.53	$2.72	0.09
Warden of the Grove	rare	$2.49	$4.33	0.37
Magmatic Hellkite // Magmatic Hellkite	rare	$2.13	$4.01	0.37
Temur Battlecrier	rare	$2.03	$2.14	0.37
Rot-Curse Rakshasa	mythic	$1.86	$2.44	0.09
Dragonfire Blade	rare	$1.80	$3.20	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$1.73	$5.01	0.09
Temur Battlecrier	rare	$1.71	$2.83	0.37
Bloomvine Regent // Claim Territory // Bloomvine Regent	rare	$1.70	$2.00	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$1.68	$5.55	0.09
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon	rare	$1.60	$2.16	0.37
Qarsi Revenant	rare	$1.59	$2.40	0.37
Dragonback Assault	mythic	$1.49	$2.42	0.09
Shiko, Paragon of the Way	mythic	$1.32	$2.02	0.09
Jeskai Revelation	mythic	$1.31	$2.11	0.09
Hollowmurk Siege	rare	$1.31	$2.56	0.37
Dragonfire Blade	rare	$1.30	$1.28	0.37
Magmatic Hellkite	rare	$1.10	$1.96	0.37
Taigam, Master Opportunist	mythic	$1.00	$1.70	0.09
Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin // Scavenger Regent	rare	$0.94	$1.66	0.37
Death Begets Life	mythic	$0.88	$1.04	0.09
Awaken the Honored Dead	rare	$0.84	$2.22	0.37
Stadium Headliner	rare	$0.82	$0.94	0.37
Cori Mountain Monastery	rare	$0.80	$1.04	0.37
Dalkovan Encampment	rare	$0.79	$1.28	0.37
Perennation	mythic	$0.76	$0.99	0.09
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	rare	$0.62	$0.73	0.37
Tersa Lightshatter	rare	$0.60	$1.63	0.37
Mardu Siegebreaker	rare	$0.58	$0.63	0.37
Dragonologist	rare	$0.55	$1.20	0.37
Mardu Siegebreaker	rare	$0.55	$1.77	0.37
Surrak, Elusive Hunter	rare	$0.52	$0.94	0.37
Barrensteppe Siege	rare	$0.48	$0.75	0.37
Glacierwood Siege	rare	$0.45	$0.78	0.37
Kotis, the Fangkeeper	rare	$0.44	$1.09	0.37
Avenger of the Fallen	rare	$0.43	$0.73	0.37
Teval, Arbiter of Virtue	mythic	$0.41	$0.80	0.09
Dalkovan Encampment	rare	$0.41	$0.46	0.37
Eshki Dragonclaw	rare	$0.41	$0.54	0.37
Perennation	mythic	$0.40	$0.73	0.09
Fangkeeper's Familiar	rare	$0.40	$0.47	0.37
Inevitable Defeat	rare	$0.39	$0.66	0.37
Zurgo, Thunder's Decree	rare	$0.39	$0.55	0.37
Sage of the Skies	rare	$0.38	$0.60	0.37
United Battlefront	rare	$0.38	$0.62	0.37
Kishla Village	rare	$0.38	$0.83	0.37
Naga Fleshcrafter	rare	$0.37	$1.05	0.37
The Sibsig Ceremony	rare	$0.37	$0.41	0.37
Great Arashin City	rare	$0.36	$0.51	0.37
Lasyd Prowler	rare	$0.35	$0.34	0.37
Kotis, the Fangkeeper	rare	$0.34	$0.39	0.37
Flamehold Grappler	rare	$0.34	$0.45	0.37
Sidisi, Regent of the Mire	rare	$0.33	$0.47	0.37
Lotuslight Dancers	rare	$0.33	$0.37	0.37
Songcrafter Mage	rare	$0.33	$0.56	0.37
Thunder of Unity	rare	$0.33	$0.46	0.37
Zurgo, Thunder's Decree	rare	$0.32	$0.40	0.37
Cori Mountain Monastery	rare	$0.32	$0.38	0.37
Revival of the Ancestors	rare	$0.32	$0.34	0.37
Felothar, Dawn of the Abzan	rare	$0.31	$0.65	0.37
Sinkhole Surveyor	rare	$0.30	$0.44	0.37
Rediscover the Way	rare	$0.30	$0.38	0.37
Great Arashin City	rare	$0.29	$0.31	0.37
Songcrafter Mage	rare	$0.27	$0.27	0.37
New Way Forward	rare	$0.27	$0.40	0.37
Roar of Endless Song	rare	$0.27	$0.35	0.37
Kishla Village	rare	$0.24	$0.32	0.37
Anafenza, Unyielding Lineage	rare	$0.24	$0.36	0.37
Lotuslight Dancers	rare	$0.21	$0.37	0.37
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	rare	$0.21	$0.30	0.37
New Way Forward	rare	$0.21	$0.27	0.37
Ambling Stormshell	rare	$0.21	$0.48	0.37
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	rare	$0.21	$0.32	0.37
Severance Priest	rare	$0.21	$0.27	0.37
Rediscover the Way	rare	$0.20	$0.27	0.37
Thunder of Unity	rare	$0.18	$0.29	0.37
Yathan Roadwatcher	rare	$0.18	$0.24	0.37
Stillness in Motion	rare	$0.15	$0.35	0.37
Roar of Endless Song	rare	$0.14	$0.26	0.37
Revival of the Ancestors	rare	$0.13	$0.29	0.37
Yathan Roadwatcher	rare	$0.12	$0.14	0.37
Severance Priest	rare	$0.09	$0.20	0.37
Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	—	$93.02	0.09
Clarion Conqueror	mythic	—	$22.33	0.09
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	—	$78.91	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	—	$27.96	0.09
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	mythic	—	$5.56	0.09
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	—	$58.16	0.09
All-Out Assault	mythic	—	$7.91	0.09
Death Begets Life	mythic	—	$3.87	0.09
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	mythic	—	$3.62	0.09
Skirmish Rhino	mythic	—	$2.09	0.09
Ugin, Eye of the Storms	mythic	—	$427.86	0.09
Clarion Conqueror	mythic	—	$82.06	0.09
Elspeth, Storm Slayer	mythic	—	$300.77	0.09
Dracogenesis	mythic	—	$93.93	0.09
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant	mythic	—	$42.54	0.09
Craterhoof Behemoth	mythic	—	$130.53	0.09
All-Out Assault	mythic	—	$48.32	0.09
Death Begets Life	mythic	—	$30.74	0.09
Narset, Jeskai Waymaster	mythic	—	$34.59	0.09
Skirmish Rhino	mythic	—	$19.79	0.09
Mox Jasper	mythic	—	$1415.97	0.09
Temur Battlecrier	rare	—	$0.72	0.37
Qarsi Revenant	rare	—	$1.01	0.37

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Play Booster Box

EV Breakdown by Slot

Top 10 Chase Cards

All Rares & Mythics

Methodology

How is EV calculated?

Where do prices come from?

What's included in the calculation?

How accurate is this?