What is the expected value of a Aether Revolt Draft Booster Box?

Opening a Aether Revolt Draft Booster Box gets you about $161.64 of cards at market price, against a market price of $202.64 for the box — a ratio of 0.8x. Selling those cards would return about $57.24 after fees, because 50% of that value sits in cards worth more as bulk than as a listing.

Is the Aether Revolt Draft Booster Box worth opening?

No: at $202.64 a box the cards inside are worth about $41.00 less than the box costs, and buying the individual cards you want will be cheaper. The box only breaks even at $161.64 or less, and less again — about $57.24 — if the plan is to resell.

How much would you get back selling a Aether Revolt Draft Booster Box?

About $57.24, against $161.64 of cards at market price. Market price is what a buyer pays, not what a seller receives: TCGplayer takes 10.75% commission plus a 2.5% and $0.30 transaction fee, and posting a single card costs around $1.10. Below roughly $1.66 a card is worth more in a bulk lot, at about $0.04 a rare, than listed and posted — and 50% of this box's value sits under that line.

Aether Revolt

Cards inside $161.64$41 short

Aether Revolt

Aether Revolt Draft Booster Box

Open one box and you'll get $161.64 of cards, on average. A box costs $203 right now, so that means you're $41.00 short.

Cards inside

$161.64

Everything in the box, at today's prices

Box costs now

$203

TCGplayer market · from $217

Difference

-$41.00

Against you

Packs in the box

Each holds at least one rare or mythic

Box price from TCGplayer, checked October 12, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated October 16, 2026

This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.

And if you sold the cards?

$161.64 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.

Worth to a buyer

$161.64

Every card at market price

What you'd keep

$57.24

About 35% of it, sold card by card

Stuck as bulk

50%

Cards worth more by the thousand than listed

Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 50% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.

Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.

What does a box cost you?

We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.

Box price

$20$525

I'd be selling the cards. Values every card at what you'd be paid for it rather than what it sells for — fees and postage on the ones worth listing, bulk rates on the ones that aren't. Comes to about 35% of $162.

-$41.00

per box, against you

You would do better buying the singles

At $203 a box you'd come up about $41.00 short on average. Buying the individual cards you want will usually cost less.

Break-even price

$161.64

Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.

Where the value comes from

Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.

Rare or mythic

The one guaranteed rare or mythic in every pack. This is where most of a box’s value sits.

Per pack

$1.42

Whole box

$51.12

$25.20 kept

32%

Commons

The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.

Per pack

$1.11

Whole box

$39.96

$1.44 kept

25%

Foil or masterpiece 1 in 144

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$1.05

Whole box

$37.80

$28.08 kept

23%

Uncommons

Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.

Per pack

$0.75

Whole box

$27.00

$2.52 kept

17%

Basic land

The basic land. Worth essentially nothing unless it is a full-art foil.

Per pack

$0.16

Whole box

$5.76

$0.00 kept

The cards you're hoping to hit

The ten most valuable cards a Draft Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.

#1 most valuable

Staff of Domination

$297.36

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#2 most valuable

Platinum Angel

$217.43

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#3 most valuable

Sword of War and Peace

$199.80

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes