What is the expected value of a Kaladesh Draft Booster Box?

Opening a Kaladesh Draft Booster Box gets you about $211.68 of cards at market price, against a market price of $537.10 for the box — a ratio of 0.39x. Selling those cards would return about $104.04 after fees, because 37% of that value sits in cards worth more as bulk than as a listing.

Is the Kaladesh Draft Booster Box worth opening?

No: at $537.10 a box the cards inside are worth about $325.42 less than the box costs, and buying the individual cards you want will be cheaper. The box only breaks even at $211.68 or less, and less again — about $104.04 — if the plan is to resell.

How much would you get back selling a Kaladesh Draft Booster Box?

About $104.04, against $211.68 of cards at market price. Market price is what a buyer pays, not what a seller receives: TCGplayer takes 10.75% commission plus a 2.5% and $0.30 transaction fee, and posting a single card costs around $1.10. Below roughly $1.66 a card is worth more in a bulk lot, at about $0.04 a rare, than listed and posted — and 37% of this box's value sits under that line.

Kaladesh

Cards inside $211.68$325 short

Kaladesh

Kaladesh Draft Booster Box

Open one box and you'll get $211.68 of cards, on average. A box costs $537 right now, so that means you're $325.42 short.

Cards inside

$211.68

Everything in the box, at today's prices

Box costs now

$537

TCGplayer market · from $600

Difference

-$325.42

Against you

Packs in the box

Each holds at least one rare or mythic

Box price from TCGplayer, checked October 12, 2026 · Card prices from Scryfall (TCGplayer market data) · last updated October 15, 2026

This is an average. A few very expensive cards pull it upward, so most individual boxes land below it. Opening one box is closer to a lottery ticket than an investment — the number below tells you whether the lottery is priced fairly.

And if you sold the cards?

$211.68 is what the cards are worth to a buyer. It is not what you would be paid for them.

Worth to a buyer

$211.68

Every card at market price

What you'd keep

$104.04

About 49% of it, sold card by card

Stuck as bulk

37%

Cards worth more by the thousand than listed

Two things separate the two figures. Fees take 10.75% commission plus 2.5% and $0.30 on every order, and postage on a single card runs about $1.10 — a bite a cheap card cannot absorb. And 37% of the box's value sits in cards below roughly $1.66, the point where a card is worth more thrown into a bulk lot at $0.04 a rare than listed, packed and posted. Selling the whole box to a buylist in one go pays less again.

Assumes one card per order, which is the cautious reading — a buyer taking several cards at once splits the fixed costs between them. Fees are TCGplayer Marketplace rates as of February 2026; bulk rates are current cash buylist.

What does a box cost you?

We start from what a box costs right now. Put in the price you're actually being asked to pay and the answer updates.

Box price

$20$1,350

I'd be selling the cards. Values every card at what you'd be paid for it rather than what it sells for — fees and postage on the ones worth listing, bulk rates on the ones that aren't. Comes to about 49% of $212.

-$325.42

per box, against you

You would do better buying the singles

At $537 a box you'd come up about $325.42 short on average. Buying the individual cards you want will usually cost less.

Break-even price

$211.68

Pay less than this and you're ahead on average.

Where the value comes from

Every pack has a few fixed positions — a guaranteed rare, a wildcard, a foil. Here's what each one is worth across the whole box.

Foil or masterpiece 1 in 144

A foil version of this slot.

Per pack

$2.36

Whole box

$84.96

$69.12 kept

40%

Rare or mythic

The one guaranteed rare or mythic in every pack. This is where most of a box’s value sits.

Per pack

$1.67

Whole box

$60.12

$32.40 kept

28%

Commons

The bulk of the pack. Individually worth very little.

Per pack

$1.13

Whole box

$40.68

$1.44 kept

19%

Uncommons

Three per pack. Occasionally one is worth real money.

Per pack

$0.56

Whole box

$20.16

$1.08 kept

10%

Basic land

The basic land. Worth essentially nothing unless it is a full-art foil.

Per pack

$0.16

Whole box

$5.76

$0.00 kept

The cards you're hoping to hit

The ten most valuable cards a Draft Booster can produce, and roughly how often one shows up.

#1 most valuable

Sol Ring

$1644.17

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#2 most valuable

Mana Vault

$1326.61

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes

#3 most valuable

Mox Opal

$1209.84

You'll open one about 1 every 100 boxes