What is the expected value of a Aetherdrift Play Booster Box?

The current expected value of opening a Aetherdrift Play Booster Box is $153.26, compared to a retail price of $130. This gives an EV ratio of 1.18x.

Is the Aetherdrift Play Booster Box worth opening?

Based on current card prices, opening this box has a positive expected value of +$23.26.

Aetherdrift Play Booster Box

1.18x

EV $153.26MSRP $130+$23.26

Aetherdrift

Aetherdrift Play Booster Box

1.18x

Worth Opening

EV Ratio

Box EV

$153.26

Retail

$130

P/L

+$23.26

Packs

Scryfall/TCGPlayer · 4/7/2026

Amazon

EV by Slot

Slot	Per-Pack	Box Total	Share
Rare / Mythic	$0.77	$27.71	18%
Wildcard	$0.30	$10.88	7%
Foil (any rarity)	$3.19	$114.67	75%
Total		$153.26	100%

Top 10 Chase Cards

Riverpyre Verge

$23.18

+$4.98 EV

Monument to Endurance

$14.51

+$3.12 EV

Sunbillow Verge

$13.44

+$2.89 EV

Willowrush Verge

rare~0.21/box

$11.04

+$2.37

Bleachbone Verge

rare~0.21/box

$9.73

+$2.09

Wastewood Verge

rare~0.21/box

$9.48

+$2.04

Brightglass Gearhulk

mythic~0.07/box

$6.77

+$0.47

Ketramose, the New Dawn

mythic~0.07/box

$5.05

+$0.35

Riptide Gearhulk

mythic~0.07/box

$4.49

+$0.31

Howlsquad Heavy

rare~0.21/box

$3.89

+$0.84

All Rares & Mythics

Name	Rarity	Price	Foil	/Box
Riverpyre Verge	rare	$23.18	$25.17	0.21
Monument to Endurance	rare	$14.51	$17.87	0.21
Sunbillow Verge	rare	$13.44	$15.14	0.21
Willowrush Verge	rare	$11.04	$14.20	0.21
Bleachbone Verge	rare	$9.73	$11.96	0.21
Wastewood Verge	rare	$9.48	$12.05	0.21
Brightglass Gearhulk	mythic	$6.77	$8.67	0.07
Ketramose, the New Dawn	mythic	$5.05	$8.64	0.07
Riptide Gearhulk	mythic	$4.49	$7.15	0.07
Howlsquad Heavy	rare	$3.89	$3.81	0.21
Sab-Sunen, Luxa Embodied	mythic	$3.44	$4.56	0.07
Full Throttle	rare	$3.22	$3.64	0.21
Unstoppable Plan	rare	$2.85	$2.82	0.21
Oildeep Gearhulk	mythic	$2.71	$4.10	0.07
Riverchurn Monument	rare	$2.53	$2.84	0.21
Bloodghast	rare	$1.88	$2.20	0.21
Radiant Lotus	mythic	$1.71	$2.63	0.07
Coalstoke Gearhulk	mythic	$1.58	$1.95	0.07
Mendicant Core, Guidelight	rare	$1.50	$2.59	0.21
March of the World Ooze	mythic	$1.47	$2.14	0.07
Cryptcaller Chariot	rare	$1.32	$1.56	0.21
Gonti, Night Minister	rare	$1.30	$2.20	0.21
Thunderous Velocipede	mythic	$1.29	$1.35	0.07
The Speed Demon	mythic	$1.29	$1.85	0.07
Hazoret, Godseeker	mythic	$1.14	$1.61	0.07
Pyrewood Gearhulk	mythic	$1.03	$1.32	0.07
Vnwxt, Verbose Host	rare	$0.95	$1.96	0.21
Burnout Bashtronaut	rare	$0.92	$1.53	0.21
Oviya, Automech Artisan	rare	$0.92	$1.07	0.21
Captain Howler, Sea Scourge	rare	$0.89	$3.34	0.21
Repurposing Bay	rare	$0.80	$1.09	0.21
Muraganda Raceway	rare	$0.79	$1.18	0.21
Marketback Walker	rare	$0.78	$0.73	0.21
The Last Ride	mythic	$0.75	$0.97	0.07
Agonasaur Rex	rare	$0.73	$0.98	0.21
Loot, the Pathfinder	mythic	$0.63	$1.00	0.07
Lumbering Worldwagon	rare	$0.61	$0.95	0.21
Regal Imperiosaur	rare	$0.54	$0.90	0.21
Mu Yanling, Wind Rider	mythic	$0.49	$0.73	0.07
Mimeoplasm, Revered One	mythic	$0.46	$0.62	0.07
Thopter Fabricator	rare	$0.43	$0.56	0.21
Count on Luck	rare	$0.41	$0.56	0.21
Draconautics Engineer	rare	$0.40	$0.50	0.21
Mindspring Merfolk	rare	$0.38	$0.63	0.21
District Mascot	rare	$0.38	$0.38	0.21
Cursecloth Wrappings	rare	$0.38	$0.41	0.21
Gas Guzzler	rare	$0.37	$0.44	0.21
Bulwark Ox	rare	$0.35	$0.40	0.21
Waxen Shapethief	rare	$0.34	$0.49	0.21
Zahur, Glory's Past	rare	$0.34	$0.38	0.21
Perilous Snare	rare	$0.34	$0.38	0.21
Demonic Junker	rare	$0.33	$0.59	0.21
Aatchik, Emerald Radian	rare	$0.33	$0.48	0.21
Samut, the Driving Force	rare	$0.32	$0.34	0.21
Guardian Sunmare	rare	$0.31	$0.32	0.21
Webstrike Elite	rare	$0.31	$0.35	0.21
Redshift, Rocketeer Chief	rare	$0.31	$0.39	0.21
Basri, Tomorrow's Champion	rare	$0.30	$0.36	0.21
Possession Engine	rare	$0.28	$0.35	0.21
Daretti, Rocketeer Engineer	rare	$0.28	$0.32	0.21
Spectacular Pileup	rare	$0.27	$0.35	0.21
Gastal Thrillroller	rare	$0.26	$0.28	0.21
Lifecraft Engine	rare	$0.26	$0.39	0.21
Kolodin, Triumph Caster	rare	$0.26	$0.24	0.21
Fearless Swashbuckler	rare	$0.25	$0.29	0.21
Caradora, Heart of Alacria	rare	$0.25	$0.34	0.21
Far Fortune, End Boss	rare	$0.25	$0.37	0.21
Debris Beetle	rare	$0.24	$0.32	0.21
Winter, Cursed Rider	rare	$0.24	$0.35	0.21
Quag Feast	rare	$0.23	$0.21	0.21
Boommobile	rare	$0.20	$0.26	0.21
Sita Varma, Masked Racer	rare	$0.20	$0.38	0.21
Afterburner Expert	rare	$0.20	$0.20	0.21
Explosive Getaway	rare	$0.14	$0.17	0.21
The Aetherspark	mythic	—	$1699.49	0.07
Salvation Engine	mythic	—	$5.03	0.07
Spectacular Pileup	mythic	—	$1.71	0.07
Mu Yanling, Wind Rider	mythic	—	$10.78	0.07
Cursecloth Wrappings	mythic	—	$11.90	0.07
Chandra, Spark Hunter	mythic	—	$18.66	0.07
March of the World Ooze	mythic	—	$8.11	0.07
Explosive Getaway	mythic	—	$1.24	0.07
Loot, the Pathfinder	mythic	—	$16.04	0.07
Mimeoplasm, Revered One	mythic	—	$2.49	0.07
Radiant Lotus	mythic	—	$17.73	0.07
Salvation Engine	mythic	—	$22.76	0.07
Spectacular Pileup	mythic	—	$22.21	0.07
Mu Yanling, Wind Rider	mythic	—	$41.65	0.07
Cursecloth Wrappings	mythic	—	$53.34	0.07
Chandra, Spark Hunter	mythic	—	$75.94	0.07
March of the World Ooze	mythic	—	$37.55	0.07
Explosive Getaway	mythic	—	$16.80	0.07
Loot, the Pathfinder	mythic	—	$105.16	0.07
Mimeoplasm, Revered One	mythic	—	$34.00	0.07
Radiant Lotus	mythic	—	$135.53	0.07
Lumbering Worldwagon	rare	—	$0.41	0.21
Lifecraft Engine	rare	—	$0.21	0.21
Muraganda Raceway	rare	—	$0.75	0.21
Basri, Tomorrow's Champion	rare	—	$1.31	0.21
Bulwark Ox	rare	—	$0.91	0.21
Guardian Sunmare	rare	—	$1.56	0.21
Perilous Snare	rare	—	$2.74	0.21
Salvation Engine	mythic	—	$6.02	0.07
Skyseer's Chariot	rare	—	$0.49	0.21
Spectacular Pileup	rare	—	$1.36	0.21
Valor's Flagship	mythic	—	$2.38	0.07
Voyager Glidecar	rare	—	$0.55	0.21
Mindspring Merfolk	rare	—	$1.94	0.21
Mu Yanling, Wind Rider	mythic	—	$2.75	0.07
Possession Engine	rare	—	$0.89	0.21
Repurposing Bay	rare	—	$5.36	0.21
Riverchurn Monument	rare	—	$9.80	0.21
Thopter Fabricator	rare	—	$1.87	0.21
Unstoppable Plan	rare	—	$8.89	0.21
Vnwxt, Verbose Host	rare	—	$6.89	0.21
Waxen Shapethief	rare	—	$1.90	0.21
Bloodghast	rare	—	$6.32	0.21
Cryptcaller Chariot	rare	—	$1.75	0.21
Cursecloth Wrappings	rare	—	$1.48	0.21
Demonic Junker	rare	—	$1.49	0.21
Gas Guzzler	rare	—	$1.17	0.21
Gonti, Night Minister	rare	—	$5.98	0.21
The Last Ride	mythic	—	$1.99	0.07
Quag Feast	rare	—	$0.84	0.21
The Speed Demon	mythic	—	$6.60	0.07
Boommobile	rare	—	$0.78	0.21
Burnout Bashtronaut	rare	—	$3.31	0.21
Chandra, Spark Hunter	mythic	—	$14.58	0.07
Count on Luck	rare	—	$4.35	0.21
Daretti, Rocketeer Engineer	rare	—	$1.31	0.21
Draconautics Engineer	rare	—	$1.37	0.21
Full Throttle	rare	—	$11.22	0.21
Gastal Thrillroller	rare	—	$0.59	0.21
Hazoret, Godseeker	mythic	—	$4.33	0.07
Howlsquad Heavy	rare	—	$7.36	0.21
Afterburner Expert	rare	—	$0.93	0.21
Agonasaur Rex	rare	—	$3.68	0.21
District Mascot	rare	—	$2.31	0.21
Lumbering Worldwagon	rare	—	$2.95	0.21
March of the World Ooze	mythic	—	$5.70	0.07
Oviya, Automech Artisan	rare	—	$6.26	0.21
Regal Imperiosaur	rare	—	$4.23	0.21
Thunderous Velocipede	mythic	—	$4.31	0.07
Webstrike Elite	rare	—	$0.89	0.21
Aatchik, Emerald Radian	rare	—	$2.06	0.21
Brightglass Gearhulk	mythic	—	$10.22	0.07
Captain Howler, Sea Scourge	rare	—	$5.51	0.21
Caradora, Heart of Alacria	rare	—	$1.00	0.21
Coalstoke Gearhulk	mythic	—	$6.57	0.07
Debris Beetle	rare	—	$0.43	0.21
Explosive Getaway	rare	—	$0.54	0.21
Far Fortune, End Boss	rare	—	$0.92	0.21
Fearless Swashbuckler	rare	—	$0.94	0.21
Ketramose, the New Dawn	mythic	—	$26.05	0.07
Kolodin, Triumph Caster	rare	—	$2.48	0.21
Loot, the Pathfinder	mythic	—	$5.83	0.07
Mendicant Core, Guidelight	rare	—	$10.24	0.21
Mimeoplasm, Revered One	mythic	—	$3.28	0.07
Oildeep Gearhulk	mythic	—	$3.35	0.07
Pyrewood Gearhulk	mythic	—	$4.55	0.07
Redshift, Rocketeer Chief	rare	—	$2.58	0.21
Riptide Gearhulk	mythic	—	$6.34	0.07
Sab-Sunen, Luxa Embodied	mythic	—	$11.07	0.07
Samut, the Driving Force	rare	—	$1.09	0.21
Sita Varma, Masked Racer	rare	—	$0.62	0.21
Winter, Cursed Rider	rare	—	$0.79	0.21
Zahur, Glory's Past	rare	—	$1.33	0.21
The Aetherspark	mythic	—	$56.61	0.07
Lifecraft Engine	rare	—	$2.85	0.21
Marketback Walker	rare	—	$4.54	0.21
Monument to Endurance	rare	—	$34.23	0.21
Radiant Lotus	mythic	—	$18.89	0.07
Bleachbone Verge	rare	—	$16.43	0.21
Muraganda Raceway	rare	—	$7.44	0.21
Riverpyre Verge	rare	—	$24.06	0.21
Sunbillow Verge	rare	—	$19.55	0.21
Wastewood Verge	rare	—	$10.70	0.21
Willowrush Verge	rare	—	$13.40	0.21
Salvation Engine	mythic	—	$9.08	0.07
Skyseer's Chariot	rare	—	$1.82	0.21
Valor's Flagship	mythic	—	$9.72	0.07
Voyager Glidecar	rare	—	$2.25	0.21
Possession Engine	rare	—	$2.63	0.21
Thopter Fabricator	rare	—	$5.72	0.21
Cryptcaller Chariot	rare	—	$7.96	0.21
Demonic Junker	rare	—	$3.80	0.21
The Last Ride	mythic	—	$8.57	0.07
Boommobile	rare	—	$2.30	0.21
Gastal Thrillroller	rare	—	$2.10	0.21
Lumbering Worldwagon	rare	—	$7.19	0.21
Thunderous Velocipede	mythic	—	$12.24	0.07
Debris Beetle	rare	—	$2.85	0.21
Lifecraft Engine	rare	—	$4.16	0.21
Bulwark Ox	rare	—	$2.55	0.21
Guardian Sunmare	rare	—	$2.02	0.21
Mindspring Merfolk	rare	—	$5.16	0.21
Waxen Shapethief	rare	—	$5.81	0.21
Bloodghast	rare	—	$10.13	0.21
Gas Guzzler	rare	—	$4.17	0.21
The Speed Demon	mythic	—	$21.63	0.07
Burnout Bashtronaut	rare	—	$6.93	0.21
Draconautics Engineer	rare	—	$7.48	0.21
Howlsquad Heavy	rare	—	$15.82	0.21
Agonasaur Rex	rare	—	$6.01	0.21
District Mascot	rare	—	$3.14	0.21
Webstrike Elite	rare	—	$2.52	0.21
Fearless Swashbuckler	rare	—	$1.19	0.21
Hazoret, Godseeker	mythic	—	$18.90	0.07
Brightglass Gearhulk	mythic	—	$41.11	0.07
Coalstoke Gearhulk	mythic	—	$14.25	0.07
Ketramose, the New Dawn	mythic	—	$45.85	0.07
Oildeep Gearhulk	mythic	—	$19.86	0.07
Pyrewood Gearhulk	mythic	—	$12.08	0.07
Riptide Gearhulk	mythic	—	$24.02	0.07
Sab-Sunen, Luxa Embodied	mythic	—	$30.95	0.07

Aetherdrift Play Booster Box

Aetherdrift Play Booster Box

EV by Slot

Top 10 Chase Cards

All Rares & Mythics

Methodology

How is EV calculated?

Where do prices come from?

What's included in the calculation?

How accurate is this?