PokémonME0436 booster packsReleased May 22, 2026
Open one and you'll pull about $96.85 of cards, on average, across 36 packs.
-$85.79
You would do better buying the singles
At $183 a box. The cards inside are worth $96.85 at market prices, and 7% of boxes beat the price. Sold, you'd keep about $24 after fees and postage.
Across the pull rates' margins, the cards are worth $90 to $104. Pull-rate data: High.
Prices checked by Shon Atsil · updated Nov 7, 2026. Averages over many boxes, not a promise for yours. Shares from 40,000 simulated boxes. How it's worked out
Tear open 36 Booster Packs one at a time, at the odds and prices this page is built on. Cards worth $2 or more count at their own price and link to TCGplayer; cheaper cards count at their average.
A sealed box. What's inside?
36 packs to tear open, one at a time. Pack art: Susumu Maeya.
Based on 40,000 simulations · Nov 7
7% beat a $183 box
Every card at market price. An average, not a promise: your box is one draw.
Every night, after the prices are refreshed, we open 40,000 boxes pack by pack, from the same pack contents and card prices as the value above, and record what each box is worth at market price and after selling. On Nov 7 they averaged $96.65 against a value of $96.85 ($23.83 against $23.96 if sold); a night more than 2% out isn't shown. The share that beat the box is counted against that day's $182.64; at other prices it's read off the spread of boxes, to about a point. The run's random numbers come from the seed 2026-11-07:pokemon:chaos-rising, so it can be repeated exactly.
1Mega Greninja exMega Hyper Rare
$111.10
Odds: about 1 every 28 boxes
Art: takuyoa
2Mega Greninja exSpecial Illustration Rare
$105.93
Odds: about 1 every 14 boxes
Art: Susumu Maeya
3Cinccino exSpecial Illustration Rare
$36.51
Odds: about 1 every 14 boxes
Art: Keisin
Mega Dragalge ex
Mega Floette ex
AZ's Tranquility
Roxie's Performance
Mega Greninja ex
Froakie
Xerneas
Cinccino ex
Everything else
Commons, uncommons, rares and two reverse holos a pack.
Whole box
$57.33
Share
59%
Special Illustration Rare
The full-art illustration of an ex or Trainer: the big chase. 1.21% a pack (±0.23), 6 cards averaging $36.27.
Per box
0.44
Whole box
$15.80
Share
16%
Illustration Rare
A full-art illustration of a regular Pokémon, in the second reverse slot. 10.66% a pack (±0.65), 11 cards averaging $2.30.
Per box
3.8
Whole box
$8.84
Share
9%
Ultra Rare
A full-art ex or Trainer, in the rare slot. 8.29% a pack (±0.58), 18 cards averaging $2.31.
Per box
3.0
Whole box
$6.90
Share
7%
Mega Hyper Rare
The set’s top card; a handful of pulls behind its rate, so read it loosely. 0.1% a pack (±0.07), 1 cards averaging $111.10.
Per box
0.04
Whole box
$4.00
Share
4%
Double Rare
A regular Pokémon ex, in the rare slot. 20.3% a pack (±0.85), 10 cards averaging $0.55.
Per box
7.3
Whole box
$3.98
Share
4%
Pull rates. The Pokémon Company publishes none. Ours come from the TCGplayer Authentication Center, which opened 8,500+ packs of Chaos Rising (their article ). Every card in a rarity counts as equally likely, as they found. The ± is their 95% margin; the range in the verdict is the box value across it.
The pack. 4 commons, 3 uncommons, two reverse holo slots (the second can be an Illustration Rare or better) and a rare slot (a Double or Ultra Rare at their rates). Mega Hyper Rares count as their own small chance per pack. Packs are independent: English boxes carry no guaranteed hits.
Prices. TCGplayer market price for every card, refreshed daily; reverse holos at their reverse holo price. Card scans and artists from TCGdex.
