None of 7 Pokémon booster boxes hold more in cards than they cost

Every card a box can hold, priced at TCGplayer market and weighed by how often it turns up. The Pokémon Company publishes no pull rates, so ours are TCGplayer's measured ones, with their margin of error.

PokémonBetaPrices checked by Shon Atsil · Nov 7, 202640,000 boxes opened per set

Every box we price

7 sets

Side by side

SetBoxCards insideDifferenceBoxes that beat itSIR or betterPull-rate data
Pitch BlackME05$175$110($98–$121)-$6611%38%Medium-high · 4,000+ packs
Chaos RisingME04$183$97($90–$104)-$867%38%High · 8,500+ packs
Perfect OrderME03$172$106($96–$116)-$666%37%Medium-high · 3,500+ packs
Phantasmal FlamesME02$387$144($122–$165)-$2439%38%High · 5,000+ packs
Mega EvolutionME01$300$125($111–$140)-$1742%32%High · 5,000+ packs
Destined RivalsSV10$384$136($126–$145)-$2483%47%High · 8,000+ packs
Journey TogetherSV09$208$107($102–$112)-$1011%50%High · 8,000+ packs

“Cards inside” is the average box at market price; the range beside it is where that average lands across TCGplayer’s 95% margins on the pull rates. “SIR or better” is the share of boxes holding at least one Special Illustration Rare, Hyper Rare or Mega Hyper Rare. Averages over many boxes, never a promise for one.